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Political notes from Free Press staff writers Terri Hallenbeck, Sam Hemingway and Nancy Remsen
3.15.2010
Making money decisions
Three House committees wrap up work on the bills that state government needs to operate after July 1 – the budget bill, the transportation budget bill and the capital project bill. House Appropriations Committee Chairwoman Martha Heath, D-Westford, seemed confident Monday that her committee would recommend a budget that addressed the $150 million shortfall without decimating state services. Heath gave the House Ways and Means Committee a sketch of the budget late last week. Here are some highlights about how the committee closes the gap: *$15 million from changes in teacher retirement *$38 million from structural changes through Challenges for Change process *$9.2 million from changes in employee contract *$20 million in redirected use of revenues proposed by Douglas administration *$15 million carried forward in Medicaid *$8 million anticipated from recertification of state psychiatric hospital *$7 million in expected additional revenue from hospital provider tax *$19 million in other changes that include $1 million from restructuring courts and $13.3 million from payments the state won’t have to make to Medicare *and $10 million in cuts in human services. That would leave about $9 million still to find. “We believe we will,” Heath said Monday. Transportation Committee Chairman Patrick Brennan, R-Colchester, also reported being close to finished with the transportation project budget. The committee had one recent surprise, he noted Monday. The panel found out it would have $3.5 million less than expected because the Appropriations Committee wasn’t going along with as big a reduction in the amount of transportation taxes supporting the Department of Public Safety as the Douglas administration recommended. Brennan said the committee has found a potential solution – toll credits. Because the Lake Champlain Ferry is having a new boat built, there will be toll credits available that the state can use as its match for federal transportation dollars. The toll credits free up the state dollars needed to cover the public safety expenses the panel hadn’t counted on. “I think everybody is OK with that,” Brennan said. The Capital bill -- detailing how the state would spend $71.8 million in borrowed money -- could be voted out of committee on Wednesday, according to House Institutions Chairwoman Alice Emmons, D-Springfield. Emmons said one of the expenses the bill will start to cover is the need for investments in rehabilitating the state office complex. The need is extensive, she said, noting there are code issues and roof problems. The bill also provides $6.9 million to put toward the cost of the new state office building in Bennington. That, added to $8 million set aside last year, is enough to get the construction underway, Emmons said. -- Nancy Remsen Labels: capital bill, legislature, state budget, transportation
1.18.2010
VtBuzz: On money, rain, primaries and the electoral college
There could be gaspsGov. Jim Douglas unveils his budget Tuesday in a 2 p.m. address to the House and Senate. (Want to see and hear it? Go here and look for a link) He has already warned lawmakers and the public that “nips and tucks” may have worked before, but won’t be enough to address the $150 million gap between projected revenues and projected spending. “We are going to have to make some fundamental choices about what the priorities of government are,” Douglas said. “We simply can’t afford to do as much as we have.” About $70 million of the reductions Douglas will employ to close the funding gap are already known. He has accepted the recommendation of his staff and a small contingent of legislators, assisted by Public Strategies Group, that $38 million in savings can be found by restructuring the way government provides some services. Precisely how those savings will be achieved in still a work in progress. The Douglas administration and state workers have agreed in a new two-year contract that reduces employees’ pay by three percent beginning in July. That saves $5.5 million next year. Douglas has endorsed the recommendations of a retirement commission. It proposes changes to state worker and teacher pensions that could save as much as $29 million. Even if those changes seem harsh, note they only add up to half the savings needed to address the revenue shortfall. Secretary of Administration Neale Lunderville made clear Monday, “There is no way to close a $150 million gap without making reductions that will have an impact on Vermonters.” Two big targets in Tuesday’s speech will be education and human services. Lunderville noted that human services have been largely spared from harsh cuts and actually benefited from $149 million increase in the current budget year. The dollars came from state and federal sources. Douglas warned in his State of the State Address against a reflexive response to necessary cuts. “The solutions to close the gap will invariably draw objection and complaint,” he said. “Although we will consider constructive alternatives, this is not the time nor the place for the reflexive defense of the status quo.” -- Nancy RemsenTap the Rainy FundsJack Hoffman of Public Assets Institute says one constructive alternative would be to tap some of the state’s reserve funds. Here’s an excerpt of his latest position paper which you can read in full here . “Today, the Legislature could spare Vermonters additional painful budget cuts and give the state economy a boost if it stopped hoarding this money and used these reserve funds as intended. “Vermont has four separate reserve funds. The largest of these, the General Fund Stabilization Reserve, contains $60 million, the statutory maximum. “Legislative leaders and the Douglas administration have resisted using the reserves. They argue that they don’t know how long the recession will last, and once the funds have been spent, they’re gone. “It is true the rainy day funds can be spent only once. But their purpose is to prevent harmful cuts to important services—or to provide those services without the need for additional taxes. If the reserves are used first and the following year sees another budget gap, people can decide then how much revenue to raise or what services to cut. What the Legislature and the governor have done is to make cuts first and hold onto the reserves—evidently hoping they will never have to be used. While that may provide comfort to Montpelier, it’s no help to Vermonters.” -- Nancy RemsenLet’s get together, yeah, yeah yeahThe House Ways and Means Committee voted 11-0 Friday on a bill that would produce $1.6 million in savings through long and short-term changes in the state’s current use program. It represented the Legislature’s first vote on a budget cut and it won support from the full political spectrum -- Democrats, Republicans, a Progressive and an independent. Under current use, the state taxes farm and forestland based on how they are used rather than their development value. The result is much lower property taxes. The changes the committee endorsed include a moratorium on adding new properties to the program for a year – which generates the biggest savings -- $1.1 million. Some tax changes will generate future savings. The Legislature committed last spring to cutting the current use program by $1.6 million and Ways and Means Chairman Michael Obuchowski, D- Rockingham, credited his committee with swallowing hard and finding ways to achieve the target. “I don’t think there is one member who is happy with it.” The bill goes next to House Appropriations. -- Nancy RemsenPrimary on the move?The House Government Operations Committee will decide Wednesday morning whether to recommend moving the primary election to the last Tuesday in August. Under current law, it’s held the second Tuesday in September. It’s not clear if the committee members can find a compromise that could win broad support or whether the bill will divide the panel along party lines – Democrats for the change and Republican opposed. Gov. Jim Douglas has steadfastly opposed changing the primary date, suggesting it’s a political maneuver to give the Democratic gubernatorial candidate more time to recover from what is expected to be a grueling primary. Right now there are five Democrats seeking to be their party’s gubernatorial nominee and a single Republican candidate who wouldn’t have any primary election distraction. The Senate already passed the bill to make the change. Stay tuned to see whether this bill becomes the first political power play of the session. -- Nancy RemsenJawing about jobsDemocratic leaders in the House and Senate have invited about a dozen business leaders to come to the Statehouse Thursday morning for a forum on jobs. It runs 9:30 a.m. to noon in the House Chamber. The business leaders will be asked to comment on what works well in Vermont when they want to grow and add jobs and what could be improved. The latter answers could become the basis for a bill on job creation. Meanwhile Lt. Gov. Brian Dubie (Republican candidate for governor) is also talking jobs in a tour he’s making. So far, he gathered string in Rutland. Businesses are, no doubt, happy that politicians of all stripes want to talk to them. Their obvious question will be what will come from all these conversations? -- Nancy RemsenBig picture issueThere’s an effort underway to try to change the way this country elects presidents. On one side is National Popular Vote, an organization that promotes a change that would “guarantee the Presidency to the candidate who receives the most popular votes in all 50 states (and the District of Columbia).” Former Rep. Chris Pearson, P-Burlington, is involved with this initiative. Check it out here. On the other side is Save Our States, which wants the country to stick with the Electoral College system. Trent England, director of Save Our States, will come to Montpelier Wednesday to urge lawmakers here to reject a bill that has already passed the Senate and is awaiting action in the House Government Operations Committee. Check it out here.The Legislature and Gov. Jim Douglas have already fought a round on this issue. In 2008, the legislature passed the bill “relating to the agreement among the states to elect the president by national popular vote.” The Senate supported it 22-6 and the House voted 77-35. Douglas vetoed the bill. He wrote at the time that the will “would fundamentally alter the presidential election method prescribed in the U.S. Constitution by having Vermont join an interstate compact requiring our Electoral College votes be awarded to the candidate who wins the most support nationally, rather than the candidate who wins the most votes in Vermont. I am not willing to cede Vermont’s voice in the election.” House. Rep. Donna Sweaney, D-Windsor, said she would schedule consideration of proposal in her committee later this winter – so the contest is on again. -- Nancy RemsenGetting ready for MarchBurlington Democrats will gather at ward caucuses this week beginning tonight. The meetings are where local party members “help shape our party and support our candidates,” wrote David Cain, chairman of the city committee, in a notice at the local committee’s Web site. Here’s the schedule: • Tuesday: Wards 5 & 6 at 7 p.m. at Champlain Elementary School Learning Center. • Thursday: Wards 1, 2, and 3 at 6 p.m. at the Integrated Arts Academy at Wheeler School Cafeteria; also Ward 4 at 6:30 p.m. at 54 Muirfield Road. • Friday: Ward 7 at 7 p.m. at Miller Center Children's Room. Any other parties in the city caucusing? It wasn’t apparent from the calendars for either the Republican or Progressive parties. -- Nancy RemsenLabels: Gov. Jim Douglas, legislature, vermont politics
8.05.2009
The Flanagan debate
As you read in today's Free Press, Sen. Ed Flanagan is no longer sure if he's running for lieutenant governor. He says he realized it was too early and he'll make a decision after the next legislative session, which ends in May. Flanagan, of course, has reasons to reconsider. He has been accused of inappropriate behavior in the men's fitness center of the Burlington YMCA. He denies the allegations, though he says that as a result of the brain injury he suffered in a near-fatal 2005 car accident he has found his "discretionary capabilities" are off-kilter. I spoke to many of his Senate colleagues yesterday to see whether they thought he could continue as a senator or as a lt. gov. candidate _ several of them in person at a legislative conference in Burlington and others on the phone. No question, the topic was the buzz among members, but speaking publicly about it was not so easy. Every one of them winced when I mentioned the topic. Understandably so. The thing is complicated, sensitive, and who wants to have their name attached to it in print? Give credit then to those who were willing to speak and help put an important question into perspective. Not all were. Sen. Tim Ashe, D/P-Burlington, asked if he could think about it and call me back. I'm still waiting. Lt. Gov. Brian Dubie, who presides over the Senate, wanted to check first with legal counsel to see what the presiding officer's role might be. Not a bad thing to know, but does that preclude making any comment? - Terri Hallenbeck Labels: Brian Dubie, Ed Flanagan, legislature, politics, Tim Ashe, Vermont
7.16.2009
Vt. faces new $25M hole
State officials are staring down at a $25 million hole in the ground today. That's how much less economists say the state can expect in revenues in the coming months. Given the recent sparring between the Legislature and the governor on solving earlier gaps that included an override of his unprecedented veto of the state budget, we are headed for another interesting round. Predictions? Does this mean more layoffs of state workers? The wholesale cutting of some service or another? More taxes? What's your preference? - Terri Hallenbeck Labels: legislature, revenues, state budget, Vermont
6.01.2009
Drama under the Dome
Do supporters of the Legislature's budget have the votes to override? Will they need them? You can read about it in today's Free Press. - Terri Hallenbeck Labels: legislature, politics, Vermont
5.29.2009
Budget awaits veto
The continuing saga of the Great 2010 Budget Debate took a new turn yesterday, as legislators proposed some changes they'll make to. Not coincidentally, those changes might just be the sort of thing that would win over a stray legislator or two when it comes time next week to vote on overriding the governor's veto. Speaking of the budget veto, the budget bill arrived at the governor's office yesterday. He has five days to act on it. Spokeswoman Dennise Casey said that is most likely to happen Monday. Predictions on the override? - Terri Hallenbeck Labels: legislature, politics, Vermont
5.27.2009
Rumblings on the special session
The rumble around Montpelier is that legislators could come back June 2 and adjourn to the following week to take care of the 2010 budget that the governor promises to veto if it ever makes it to his desk. Mind you this is rumble, which is different from fact. I think the fact is that no one under all the sun, stars and clouds quite knows what will happen. There are at least a couple possible theories for why they might do that stutter-step special session thing. If: a) The Democratic majority has a member or members who can't make it June 2, but can be there the week after to give them enough allow for an override of the veto. or b) The Democratic majority doesn't have the votes to override and will need that extra week to work out a budget compromise with the governor. House Republican Leader Patti Komline of Dorset said today that she has the votes to sustain the governor's veto. We don't, however, know what kind of reconstructive surgery Democrats have planned for any wayward members between now and whenever a vote might take place. Senate President Pro Tem Peter Shumlin also claimed today that Democrats would have the votes to override. - Terri Hallenbeck Labels: legislature, politics, Vermont
5.26.2009
Hearings with a side of lunch
There will be posturing on both sides tomorrow as the great budget battle of '09 continues. Legislators will hold the first of two public hearings, which they have made fairly clear are designed to hear from people who don't like the governor's budget proposal. Not to be outdone, the governor is holding a series of lunches with Vermont workers, whom he indicates have so far all dissed the Legislature's budget. Wednesday's PB&J exchange is at DEW Construction in Williston. Lunch comes with a taste of bitterness in the governor's news release: "As lawmakers begin their Montpelier hearings, Governor Douglas tomorrow will attend his third budget meeting with working Vermonters and small business owners in Williston at DEW Construction Corp. The meetings, which are scheduled at convenient times for working Vermonters, are designed to give workers and employers the opportunity to weigh in on the troubling effects of the Legislature’s recent tax increases.
...
"While Legislative leaders sit in Montpelier and hear from special interest groups and lobbyists about a budget proposal that isn’t even up for consideration, Governor Douglas is out meeting with working Vermonters, farmers and employers in their communities about the budget proposal that will be taken up at next Tuesday's special session."
...
"In addition to community meetings, Governor Douglas is also meeting with several legislative Democrats who have reached out with ideas, comments and concerns about our current budget situation." Does he have their votes? - Terri Hallenbeck Labels: legislature, politics, Vermont
5.22.2009
Grand Isle rep expects to be back
 For most of the legislative session, Rep. Ira Trombley, D-Grand Isle, listened in on Health Care Committee discussions by phone and floor sessions via the Internet from home. He was hobbled by an infected foot that would not heal. Trombley felt as obtrusive as an elephant showing up at the Statehouse for the same-sex marriage veto vote in a van and hobbling into the chamber on crutches with his IV pack, but few people in the crowd knew what he was going through. All that's in the past. Now, Trombley is on the mend, he said today. He's been cleared by doctors to return to work as an alcohol counselor and he expects to be there June 2, perhaps on crutches or using a cane, when the Legislature returns for a special session on the budget. Trombley wasn't there for the votes on the budget during the session, but he said he expects to vote for an override of the governor's budget veto if it comes to that. - Terri Hallenbeck Labels: legislature, politics, Vermont
5.19.2009
Not on the invite list
The governor's staff released his new budget proposal this afternoon. You can read more about the details in tomorrow's Free Press (no, I can't give you a link to the future). The chairwomen of the Legislature's two appropriations committees were also briefed today on the budget. Distinctly missing from the invitation list, however, were the House speaker and the Senate president pro tem. They are ultimately the people who have to sell any plan to their members, but they weren't there because the governor's staff didn't invite them. Finance Commissioner Jim Reardon said time constraints prevented a meeting with Speaker Shap Smith and Pro Tem Peter Shumlin, and that the administration's money people usually deal with the Legislature's money people. Administration Secretary Neale Lunderville said, "We'd be happy to brief legislative leaders." Interesting decision not to include them in the first conversation. For those of you who have not witnessed the smoke coming out of the ears, keep in mind that there is not a lot of love, or trust, lost between the governor and Shumlin. Smith said this afternoon of the lack of invitation, "I'm not going to take to much from it." - Terri Hallenbeck Labels: legislature, politics, Vermont
5.18.2009
Blogger seeks Senate seat
Blogger Philip Baruth is looking to take his politics out of cyberspace and into the Statehouse. Baruth, 47, author of Vermont Daily Briefing, filed his bank designation form Monday with the Secretary of State's Office, indicating he's started raising money for a campaign for state Senate in Chittenden County. He's running for the Democratic nomination for one of six Senate seats and he admits that it's early _ more than 17 months before the 2010 election. "Yeah, it's a lot early," he said, and that's the point. "People generally don't come out this early and they generally lose." Baruth, who is also an author and English professor at the University of Vermont, is looking to break into a field that most first-timers find tough to crack. There may be at least one incumbent among the six not running, though, as Doug Racine says he's running for governor. - Terri Hallenbeck Labels: legislature, politics, Vermont
5.15.2009
Veto session June 2
Mark your calendars, kids. Gov. Jim Douglas will veto the budget bill and is calling the Legislature back June 2. "If my only choice is between allowing your fiscal 2010 budget to become law or a veto, I must choose veto," Douglas' letter says. "I cannot abandon Vermonters' long-term economic security for short-lived political accord."
Douglas acknowledged in the letter that the Legislature may be able to override his veto. "If this budget becomes law over my veto _ and despite my repeated attempts to forge a compromise that puts the public interest over special interests _ I am prepared to accept that outcome. But understand that what you reap is what you sow; the adverse effects of your tax and spending choices will ripple through the Vermont economy for years to come and those consequences will be your sole responsibility."
Douglas told legislators he will give them a new budget proposal Tuesday that will "balance the Legislature's desire for higher taxes with the need for ongoing financial responsibility. That said, I do not expect my ideas will satisfy your demands." - Terri Hallenbeck Labels: legislature, politics, Vermont
So what is up with the state job cuts?
Administration officials are now working on a plan to save Agency of Human Services money without closing the St. Johnsbury prison, as had been proposed. You can read about the ever-changing dynamics of the state job cuts HERE. - Terri Hallenbeck Labels: legislature, politics, Vermont
5.13.2009
Will there be a veto
So, when will legislators return to address the budget that Gov. Jim Douglas doesn't like? Your guess is as good as anyone's. Read about it HERE. Today, the governor and legislative leaders will hold separate news conferences at which they will seek to sell the public on their point of view. Do you foresee a veto or is it averted? Can the Legislature override this veto? - Terri Hallenbeck Labels: legislature, politics, Vermont
5.12.2009
NYT: Vt above average with welfare
The New York Times the other day looked at various states' welfare options. The premise of the package was that availability of services is fairly uneven. The Times looked at various states' offerings. Overall, Vermont came out the most generous for the percentage of poor receiving welfare, percent of unemployed who receive benefits, percent of low-income children who receive subsidized health care and other categories. Now, we all know that state rankings on virtually any topic are hazardous, so keep that in mind, but it's an interesting analysis nonetheless. Check out the story and the charts at the link above. - Terri Hallenbeck Labels: legislature, politics, Vermont
5.10.2009
They'll be back
They'll be back before the calendar turns to July. Read about it HERE. - Terri Hallenbeck Labels: legislature, politics, Vermont
5.09.2009
One chamber down, one to go
The Senate adjourned until Jan. 2010 at 8:35 tonight. The House is still debating the economic development bill. Gov. Douglas will surely veto the budget bill. The Legislature may try to override. - Terri Hallenbecl Labels: legislature, politics, Vermont
Saturday at the Statehouse
For those of you sitting at home on Saturday wondering how the Leggie is coming, I have one thing to say: Go outside and do something. OK, now that you're outside, I'll try to update you. We are not getting out of here at any time that could be characterized as early Saturday. Morning talks between legislative leaders and the governor did not bring a budget agreement. Legislators are going ahead with their own to-be-vetoed budget, with a few new tweaks to minimize the impact on the current use program and the Education Fund and win over some reluctant Democrats. That set the table for a special session sometime between now and July 1 to come up with a new budget. Gov. Jim Douglas had earlier said he's vetoed the budget before (in 2005) and will do it again, which he today corrected. He didn't veto the budget in 2005. He warned that he would and the Legislature fixed it before a veto came. So this would be the first budget veto in history. The economic development bill is still in the works. There were so many brush fires to be put on this one, it is mind-boggling. The hallway outside the committee room has seen about 400 mini-conferences on everything from tax increment financing districts to labor regulations. It'll be the last thing out of the chute. - Terri Hallenbeck Labels: legislature, politics, Vermont
5.08.2009
Room for talking
It appears that the legislative session will end Saturday. The House is scheduled to convene at 10 a.m. The Senate at 1 p.m. Theoretically, the House will be voting on the budget, which the Senate has already approved. But wait, is there still room for a deal with the governor so he won't veto the budget? Sen. Richard Mazza said he tried to get the governor and legislative leaders to talk Friday. Some talking went on, he said. The governor, the speaker and the pro tem wouldn't deny it but also wouldn't admit it. As if they consider it a sign of weakness to acknowledge they are talking to each other. One sign that they were talking: Gov. Jim Douglas and Speaker Shap Smith both used identical language to say that the lines of communication remain open. - Terri Hallenbeck Labels: legislature, politics, Vermont
5.07.2009
Vt. leggie moves toward adjournment
Right now, the House is in another marathon debate, a day after ultra-marathon debates on prescription drug and Vermont Yankee bills. This time it's about renewable energy. The House is voting whether to concur with changes the Senate makes and House Republicans are fighting the bill. It won't last as long as yesterday's debate as the roll call has jut begun. Meanwhile downstairs, word is that progress is being made toward the signing of tax and budget conference committee reports. That could put the 2010 budget on the Senate floor later this afternoon. Adjournment? 2 p.m. Saturday sounds good to me. - Terri Hallenbeck Labels: legislature, politcs, Vermont
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