Eric Davis, the Middlebury College political analyst, went out on a limb during an interview with Vermont Public Radio today, saying there's a chance that Democrat Matt Dunne will upset two-term Republican Lt. Gov. Brian Dubie. The Dunne folks promptly put out a press statement announcing that Davis was predicting an upset, but that's not quite the case.
Here's what Davis said in response to a question from VPR's Steve Delaney asking him to comment on what might happen "at the top of the state races" on Tuesday.
Davis: "I would say if there’s going to be an upset next Tuesday night it would be in the race for Lt. Governor. This is a race that really has just taken shape in the last couple of weeks. Matt Dunne has been coming on very strong. He’s gotten some high profile endorsements in the last week or ten days from former Governor Howard Dean, and from the Burlington Free Press editorial page. There’s momentum behind the Dunne campaign."
"But at the same time, you can’t underestimate Brian Dubie. He was the surprise winner two years ago with 56% of the vote. So this one’s still too close to call but if there is going to be an upset Tuesday night, I think Dunne might just pull it off."
Not exactly a prediction, but perhaps it's a sign of how competitive this race has become. So how does the blogosphere see this race turning out?
--Sam Hemingway